Результаты работы программы WinMark

Информация о работе

Дата:10.01.2014
Фамилия:
Имя:
Номер группы:

Элементы

l1 = 1.000000
l2 = 0.400000
mu = 10.000000

Матрица интенсивностей переходов

-2.800000	l1	l1	l2	l2	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
mu	-11.400000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	l1	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.400000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
mu	0.000000	-11.400000	0.000000	0.000000	l1	l2	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
mu	0.000000	0.000000	-11.400000	0.000000	0.000000	l1	l2	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
mu	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	-11.400000	0.000000	0.000000	l2	0.000000	l1	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	mu	mu	0.000000	0.000000	-21.400000	0.000000	0.000000	l1	l2	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	mu	mu	0.000000	0.000000	-21.400000	l2	0.000000	0.000000	l1	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	mu	0.000000	0.000000	-21.400000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	l1	l2
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	-10.799999	0.000000	l2	l2	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	0.400000	0.000000	-21.400000	0.000000	l1	0.000000	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	mu	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	-20.400000	0.000000	l2	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	-20.400000	l2	0.000000
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	-20.400000	l2
0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	mu	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	-10.000000

Значения характеристик в точке

y1 = l1/mu = 0.100000
y2 = l2/mu = 0.040000
y = y1+y2 = 0.140000
zagr1 = p1+p2+p5+p6+p8+p9+p10+p11+p12 = 0.168523
zagr2 = p3+p4+p6+p7+p9+p10+p11+p12+p13 = 0.069409
zagr = (zagr1+zagr2)/2 = 0.118966
o4er1 = p8+p10+p11+p12 = 0.001107
o4er2 = p13 = 0.000054
o4er = o4er1+o4er2 = 0.001161
m1 = o4er1+zagr1 = 0.169630
m2 = o4er2+zagr2 = 0.069464
m = m1+m2 = 0.239094
pi1 = p6+p7+p8+p9+p10+p11+p12+p13 = 0.008561
pi2 = p13 = 0.000054
pi = (l1*pi1+l2*pi2)/(l1+l2) = 0.006131
lshtr1 = l1*(1-pi1) = 0.991439
lshtr2 = l2*(1-pi2) = 0.399978
lshtr = lshtr1+lshtr2 = 1.391417
w1 = o4er1/lshtr1 = 0.001116
w2 = o4er2/lshtr2 = 0.000136
w = o4er/lshtr = 0.000834
u1 = m1/lshtr1 = 0.171095
u2 = m2/lshtr2 = 0.173669
u = m/lshtr = 0.171835
Char24 = 0 = 0.000000
Char25 = 0 = 0.000000
Char26 = 0 = 0.000000
Char27 = 0 = 0.000000
Char28 = 0 = 0.000000
Char29 = 0 = 0.000000
Char30 = 0 = 0.000000
Char31 = 0 = 0.000000
Char32 = 0 = 0.000000
Char33 = 0 = 0.000000
Char34 = 0 = 0.000000
Char35 = 0 = 0.000000
Char36 = 0 = 0.000000
Char37 = 0 = 0.000000
Char38 = 0 = 0.000000
Char39 = 0 = 0.000000
Char40 = 0 = 0.000000
Char41 = 0 = 0.000000
Char42 = 0 = 0.000000
Char43 = 0 = 0.000000
Char44 = 0 = 0.000000
Char45 = 0 = 0.000000
Char46 = 0 = 0.000000
Char47 = 0 = 0.000000
Char48 = 0 = 0.000000
Char49 = 0 = 0.000000

Значения стационарных вероятностей в точке

p0 = 0.768574
p1 = 0.076890
p2 = 0.076753
p3 = 0.030711
p4 = 0.030847
p5 = 0.007664
p6 = 0.002977
p7 = 0.001290
p8 = 0.000710
p9 = 0.003133
p10 = 0.000160
p11 = 0.000167
p12 = 0.000070
p13 = 0.000054

Список варьируемых элементов

Номер шага	1	2	3	4	5
mu	10.000000	8.001000	6.002000	4.003000	2.004000

Не варьируемые элементы

l1 = 1.000000
l2 = 0.400000

Значения характеристик при варьировании

Номер шага	1	2	3	4	5
y1	0.100000	0.124984	0.166611	0.249813	0.499002
y2	0.040000	0.049994	0.066644	0.099925	0.199601
y	0.140000	0.174978	0.233256	0.349738	0.698603
zagr1	0.168523	0.202772	0.254549	0.341873	0.517365
zagr2	0.069409	0.084139	0.106984	0.147721	0.247368
zagr	0.118966	0.143456	0.180766	0.244797	0.382367
o4er1	0.001107	0.002018	0.004282	0.011703	0.052960
o4er2	0.000054	0.000102	0.000229	0.000699	0.004401
o4er	0.001161	0.002121	0.004512	0.012402	0.057361
m1	0.169630	0.204791	0.258831	0.353576	0.570326
m2	0.069464	0.084241	0.107214	0.148421	0.251769
m	0.239094	0.289032	0.366045	0.501997	0.822094
pi1	0.008561	0.013009	0.022090	0.045416	0.139803
pi2	0.000054	0.000102	0.000229	0.000699	0.004401
pi	0.006131	0.009321	0.015844	0.032640	0.101116
lshtr1	0.991439	0.986991	0.977910	0.954584	0.860197
lshtr2	0.399978	0.399959	0.399908	0.399720	0.398240
lshtr	1.391417	1.386950	1.377818	1.354304	1.258437
w1	0.001116	0.002045	0.004379	0.012260	0.061568
w2	0.000136	0.000256	0.000574	0.001749	0.011051
w	0.000834	0.001529	0.003275	0.009157	0.045581
u1	0.171095	0.207490	0.264678	0.370398	0.663017
u2	0.173669	0.210624	0.268095	0.371311	0.632204
u	0.171835	0.208394	0.265670	0.370668	0.653266
Char24	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char25	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char26	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char27	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char28	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char29	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char30	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char31	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char32	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char33	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char34	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char35	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char36	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char37	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char38	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char39	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char40	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char41	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char42	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char43	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char44	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char45	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char46	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char47	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char48	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000
Char49	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000	0.000000

Значения стационарных вероятностей при варьировании

Номер шага	1	2	3	4	5
p0	0.768574	0.722800	0.654531	0.542102	0.326709
p1	0.076890	0.090392	0.109148	0.135600	0.162922
p2	0.076753	0.090149	0.108652	0.134350	0.158530
p3	0.030711	0.036082	0.043525	0.053994	0.065318
p4	0.030847	0.036325	0.044021	0.055244	0.069710
p5	0.007664	0.011242	0.018034	0.033294	0.077008
p6	0.002977	0.004342	0.006910	0.012619	0.029243
p7	0.001290	0.001918	0.003146	0.006088	0.016496
p8	0.000710	0.001277	0.002651	0.006932	0.027464
p9	0.003133	0.004628	0.007522	0.014307	0.036703
p10	0.000160	0.000296	0.000643	0.001831	0.009126
p11	0.000167	0.000313	0.000692	0.002032	0.010819
p12	0.000070	0.000132	0.000297	0.000908	0.005552
p13	0.000054	0.000102	0.000229	0.000699	0.004401